Nowadays, we are witnessing several paradigm shifts in mobility systems and services. Cities are decarbonizing the transportation sector and are moving from car-centric mobility to multimodal mobility; from restricted mobility in two-dimensional streets to 3D mobility; from rigid schedule mobility to mobility on demand and on an as-needed basis and from fragmented unconnected mobility to seamless integrated mobility. Mobility companies move from manufacturing and trade economy to service economy or servitization such as Mobility-as-a-Service (MaaS) and from the unsustainable “number of vehicles sold”’-based revenue model to vehicle miles traveled (VMT)-based, infonomics-based data and customer experience monetization and passenger economy-based revenue models. Delivery service providers move from conventional slow, rigid and non-transparent last-mile delivery to fast, elastic and transparent last-mile delivery services. People move from ownership to usership and from passive mobility to active and zero-impact mobility. Different foundational technologies, technology enablers and mobility disruptors are behind these paradigm shifts.
According to Mobility 2040 report, the rewards of unlocking smart mobility could be vast, as this market is expected to generate 270 billion in revenues and profits of $125 billion to $150 billion by 2040. According to Reportlinker, the Global Smart Mobility Market size is expected to reach $91 billion by 2026, rising at a market growth of 18.4% CAGR during the forecast period.
In his book “Profiles of the Future: An Inquiry into the Limits of the Possible”, the English science-fiction writer and inventor Arthur Clarke formulated his famous Three Laws, of which the third law is the best-known and most widely cited:
“any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic”.
Connected mobility technology is the magic that creates new data-rich environments and enables many applications and services that will make our roads safer, less congested, and eco-friendlier. Shared mobility is the magic that replaces ownership by usership. Mobility-as-a-Service (MaaS), Mobility on Demand (MoD) and Seamless Integrated Mobility Systems (SIMS) are the magic that enables seamless mobility as the neo-liberalization of people and goods transportation.
Self-driving technology is the magic that will dramatically reduce injuries and fatalities, improves access to mobility for those who currently cannot drive due to age or disability and opens the doors to passenger economy.
3D mobility is the magic that moves us from restricted mobility in two-dimensional streets that enables only 2-DOF (lateral and longitudinal motion) to 3-DOF mobility (lateral, longitudinal and vertical motion) or more accurately 6-DOF (lateral, longitudinal, vertical, roll, pitch, and yaw) considering the rotational movements of the aerial platform.
Zero-emission Hyperloop technology is the magic that will take you from Los Angeles to San Francisco in just 35 minutes instead of 2.5 hours in high-speed rail system.
Electrification is the magic that will enables net zero emission and sustainable mobility in the near future.
The future mobility is people-centric, software defined, connected and electric. With people-centric mobility, quality of life in the cities will be improved. Software algorithms play crucial roles in enabling advanced assisted driving and automated driving vehicles, shared mobility services, mobility as a service, mobility on demand and seamless integrated mobility. Automated mobility will reduce injuries and fatalities, improves access to mobility for elderly and physically challenged individuals and will create new business models such as passenger economy. Shared mobility relies on sharing economy business model that replaces ownership by usership. Connected mobility enables different safety and infotainment services like real-time navigation and routing, traffic information, safety warnings, accident avoidance, advanced driver-assistance and automated driving systems. Electrification is a key enabler for decarbonized sustainable mobility.
In spite of recent rapid development, smart mobility is still in its infancy. The widespread and the social acceptance of smart mobility technologies like automated driving will depend not only on the maturity of the technology but also on the availability of a well-developed governance framework and the proper city planning to accommodate these evolving technologies. This means that smart mobility depends on a triad of complementary factors, namely: technology, governance and city planning. The three components of this smart mobility triad are not separate components as they impact each other.
There is a growing need to use different foundational technologies, technology enablers and disruptors to enhance the relationship between customers and mobility providers and to achieve affordable, inclusive and seamless integration between different mobility services.
The legal and regulatory environment around several smart mobility technologies need to be well developed taking into consideration opinions and concerns of different stakeholders.
Moreover, evolutionary and revolutionary changes in the city planning should be considered to accommodate the emerging services of smart mobility. My new book entitled “Smart Mobility: Exploring Foundational Technologies and Wider Impacts” gives a holistic view of smart mobility systems and services and covers how the smart mobility triad — technology, governance, and city planning — work together to create a smart and sustainable mobility.
The book describes foundational technologies, technology enablers and disruptors of smart mobility. Position, Navigation, and Timing (PNT), Geographic Information System (GIS), wireless communication, mobile cloud computing, blockchain, Internet of Things (IoT), Artificial Intelligence (AI), robotics, and electrification are covered as examples of foundational technologies for smart mobility systems and services. The book discusses several technology enablers for smart mobility such as intelligent infrastructure, connected mobility, automated mobility, E-Mobility, micro-mobility, active/soft mobility, inclusive mobility and Context Awareness Systems (CAS). The book also sheds lights on potential smart mobility disruptors such as disruptive mobility platforms (autonomous grounds vehicles, urban air mobility, river taxis, automated people movers, hyperloop and urbanloop), shared mobility, MaaS, MoD, SIMS, last-mile delivery, gig economy and passenger economy. Market size of these technologies, their potential growth and eco-socio-economic implications are highlighted in this book. Impacts of COVID-19 pandemic on consumer behaviors and preferences and the expected short-term disruptions and longer-term structural changes in different aspects of mobility systems specially in micromobility, shared mobility, public transit and contactless last-mile delivery services are also discussed. The book will be published by Apress (Springer Nature) in June 2021.